Business Outlook Survey

(April-June 2026)

June 11, 2026

1. Business conditions

Business survey index

(Difference of "up"-"down" compared with the previous quarter)

 
(%points)
   Jan.-Mar.
2026
(previous)
 Apr.-Jun.
2026
(present)
 Jul.-Sep.
2026
(outlook)
 Oct.-Dec.
2026
(outlook)
Corporations with capital of 1 billion yen or over
  All industries 4.4 -0.5 4.3 4.5
Manufacturing 3.8 -1.8 4.4 5.8
Non-manufacturing 4.6 0.0 4.2 4.0
Corporations with capital of 100 million to 1 billion yen
  All industries 0.2 -3.9 1.8 6.4
Corporations with capital of 10 to 100 million yen
  All industries -12.9 -17.6 -10.6 -3.4

2. Domestic economic conditions

Business survey index

(Difference of "up"-"down" compared with the previous quarter)

 
(%points)
   Jan.-Mar.
2026
(previous)
 Apr.-Jun.
2026
(present)
 Jul.-Sep.
2026
(outlook)
 Oct.-Dec.
2026
(outlook)
Corporations with capital of 1 billion yen or over
  All industries 8.0 -4.5 -1.4 1.8
Manufacturing 6.1 -6.4 -3.6 0.7
Non-manufacturing 8.8 -3.6 -0.4 2.4
Corporations with capital of 100 million to 1 billion yen
  All industries 4.3 -14.3 -9.1 -3.2
Corporations with capital of 10 to 100 million yen
  All industries -11.6 -28.2 -25.4 -14.1

3. Employment

Business survey index

(Difference of "insufficient"-"excessive")

 
(%points)
  End of Mar.
2026
(previous)
End of Jun.
2026
(present)
End of Sep.
2026
(outlook)
End of Dec.
2026
(outlook)
Corporations with capital of 1 billion yen or over
  All industries 29.4 25.7 22.0 20.3
Manufacturing 22.6 21.3 18.0 15.4
Non-manufacturing 32.6 27.8 23.8 22.6
Corporations with capital of 100 million to 1 billion yen
  All industries 38.2 34.5 30.9 29.1
Corporations with capital of 10 to 100 million yen
  All industries 29.5 27.6 25.9 25.4

4. Sales (compared with the previous year)

 
(%)
  FY 2026
All industries 3.3
Manufacturing 4.3
Non-manufacturing 2.9

5. Ordinary profits (compared with the previous year)

 
(%)
  FY 2026
All industries -2.4
Manufacturing -4.7
Non-manufacturing -1.7

6. Software and investment in plant and equipment (compared with the previous year)

 
(%)
  FY 2026
All industries 8.2
Manufacturing 10.1
Non-manufacturing 7.2

Note: Excludes expense purchasing land.

 

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Ministry of Finance, Policy Research Institute.