Business Outlook Survey

(January-March 2024)

March.12, 2024

1. Business conditions

Business survey index

(Difference of "up"-"down" compared with previous quarter)

 
(%points)
   Oct.-Dec.
2023
(previous)
 Jan.-Mar.
2024
(present)
 Apr.-Jun.
2024
(outlook)
 Jul.-Sep.
2024
(outlook)
Corporations with capital of 1 billion yen or over
  All industries 4.8 -0.0 2.9 5.9
Manufacturing 5.7 -6.7 1.4 7.5
Non-manufacturing 4.4 3.2 3.6 5.2
Corporations with capital of 100 million to 1 billion yen
  All industries 6.8 0.2 5.0 7.8
Corporations with capital of 10 to 100 million yen
  All industries -3.7 -13.6 -3.0 0.3

2. Domestic economic conditions

Business survey index

(Difference of "up"-"down" compared with previous quarter)

 
(%points)
   Oct.-Dec.
2023
(previous)
 Jan.-Mar.
2024
(present)
 Apr.-Jun.
2024
(outlook)
 Jul.-Sep.
2024
(outlook)
Corporations with capital of 1 billion yen or over
  All industries 7.4 8.0 7.4 5.8
Manufacturing 5.0 1.9 4.7 5.3
Non-manufacturing 8.5 10.9 8.7 6.0
Corporations with capital of 100 million to 1 billion yen
  All industries 5.2 6.8 8.8 7.9
Corporations with capital of 10 to 100 million yen
  All industries -5.8 -4.9 0.8 1.8

3. Employment

Business survey index

(Difference of "insufficient"-"excessive")

 
(%points)
  End of Dec.
2023
(previous)
End of Mar.
2024
(present)
End of Jun.
2024
(outlook)
End of Sep.
2024
(outlook)
Corporations with capital of 1 billion yen or over
  All industries 26.3 28.3 21.7 18.9
Manufacturing 17.3 18.3 14.7 12.4
Non-manufacturing 30.6 33.0 25.0 21.9
Corporations with capital of 100 million to 1 billion yen
  All industries 39.3 41.3 34.8 32.2
Corporations with capital of 10 to 100 million yen
  All industries 30.4 29.0 25.5 24.4

4. Sales (compared with the previous year)

 
(%)
  FY 2023 FY 2024
All industries 2.6 2.1
Manufacturing 2.8 1.7
Non-manufacturing 2.6 2.2

5. Ordinary profits (compared with the previous year)

 
(%)
  FY 2023 FY 2024
All industries 3.3 -1.7
Manufacturing -1.1 -3.3
Non-manufacturing 4.9 -1.1

6. Software and investment in plant and equipment (compared with the previous year)

 
(%)
  FY 2023 FY 2024
All industries 9.3 7.5
Manufacturing 11.6 17.8
Non-manufacturing 8.3 2.3

Note: Excludes expense purchasing land.

 

Top of Page

 


Ministry of Finance, Policy Research Institute.