Business Outlook Survey

(October-December 2023)

December.11, 2023

1. Business conditions

Business survey index

(Difference of "up"-"down" compared with previous quarter)

 
(%points)
   Jul.-Sep.
2023
(previous)
 Oct.-Dec.
2023
(present)
 Jan.-Mar.
2024
(outlook)
 Apr.-Jun.
2024
(outlook)
Corporations with capital of 1 billion yen or over
  All industries 5.8 4.8 3.2 1.5
Manufacturing 5.4 5.7 1.3 3.0
Non-manufacturing 6.0 4.4 4.1 0.8
Corporations with capital of 100 million to 1 billion yen
  All industries 6.1 6.8 4.0 3.9
Corporations with capital of 10 to 100 million yen
  All industries -5.5 -3.7 -7.8 -2.8

2. Domestic economic conditions

Business survey index

(Difference of "up"-"down" compared with previous quarter)

 
(%points)
   Jul.-Sep.
2023
(previous)
 Oct.-Dec.
2023
(present)
 Jan.-Mar.
2024
(outlook)
 Apr.-Jun.
2024
(outlook)
Corporations with capital of 1 billion yen or over
  All industries 13.3 7.4 4.2 3.7
Manufacturing 10.8 5.0 2.6 2.8
Non-manufacturing 14.5 8.5 4.9 4.2
Corporations with capital of 100 million to 1 billion yen
  All industries 10.9 5.2 0.8 3.2
Corporations with capital of 10 to 100 million yen
  All industries 0.5 -5.8 -11.2 -6.8

3. Employment

Business survey index

(Difference of "insufficient"-"excessive")

 
(%points)
  End of Sep.
2023
(previous)
End of Dec.
2023
(present)
End of Mar.
2024
(outlook)
End of Jun.
2024
(outlook)
Corporations with capital of 1 billion yen or over
  All industries 24.0 26.3 22.3 17.0
Manufacturing 16.4 17.3 15.2 10.7
Non-manufacturing 27.7 30.6 25.7 20.0
Corporations with capital of 100 million to 1 billion yen
  All industries 37.6 39.3 35.2 29.9
Corporations with capital of 10 to 100 million yen
  All industries 29.1 30.4 27.2 24.0

4. Sales (compared with the previous year)

 
(%)
  FY 2023
All industries 2.5
Manufacturing 2.8
Non-manufacturing 2.3

5. Ordinary profits (compared with the previous year)

 
(%)
  FY 2023
All industries -1.9
Manufacturing -7.8
Non-manufacturing 0.4

6. Software and investment in plant and equipment (compared with the previous year)

 
(%)
  FY 2023
All industries 11.1
Manufacturing 14.3
Non-manufacturing 9.6

Note: Excludes expense purchasing land.

 

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Ministry of Finance, Policy Research Institute.