Business Outlook Survey

(July-September 2023)

September.13, 2023

1. Business conditions

Business survey index

(Difference of "up"-"down" compared with previous quarter)

 
(%points)
   Apr.-Jun.
2023
(previous)
 Jul.-Sep.
2023
(present)
 Oct.-Dec.
2023
(outlook)
 Jan.-Mar.
2024
(outlook)
Corporations with capital of 1 billion yen or over
  All industries 2.7 5.8 7.3 6.2
Manufacturing -0.4 5.4 8.8 6.2
Non-manufacturing 4.1 6.0 6.5 6.3
Corporations with capital of 100 million to 1 billion yen
  All industries 1.9 6.1 10.0 6.8
Corporations with capital of 10 to 100 million yen
  All industries -6.6 -5.5 0.7 -3.8

2. Domestic economic conditions

Business survey index

(Difference of "up"-"down" compared with previous quarter)

 
(%points)
   Apr.-Jun.
2023
(previous)
 Jul.-Sep.
2023
(present)
 Oct.-Dec.
2023
(outlook)
 Jan.-Mar.
2024
(outlook)
Corporations with capital of 1 billion yen or over
  All industries 15.2 13.3 8.1 6.1
Manufacturing 8.7 10.8 6.4 6.1
Non-manufacturing 18.3 14.5 8.9 6.1
Corporations with capital of 100 million to 1 billion yen
  All industries 13.9 10.9 8.5 4.8
Corporations with capital of 10 to 100 million yen
  All industries 4.7 0.5 -1.4 -4.2

3. Employment

Business survey index

(Difference of "insufficient"-"excessive")

 
(%points)
  End of Jun.
2023
(previous)
End of Sep.
2023
(present)
End of Dec.
2023
(outlook)
End of Mar.
2024
(outlook)
Corporations with capital of 1 billion yen or over
  All industries 22.6 24.0 20.5 19.0
Manufacturing 15.9 16.4 14.8 14.2
Non-manufacturing 25.8 27.7 23.2 21.3
Corporations with capital of 100 million to 1 billion yen
  All industries 36.9 37.6 34.7 30.4
Corporations with capital of 10 to 100 million yen
  All industries 29.6 29.1 27.8 25.9

4. Sales (compared with the previous year)

 
(%)
  FY 2023
All industries 2.7
Manufacturing 3.2
Non-manufacturing 2.4

5. Ordinary profits (compared with the previous year)

 
(%)
  FY 2023
All industries -3.9
Manufacturing -10.7
Non-manufacturing -1.4

6. Software and investment in plant and equipment (compared with the previous year)

 
(%)
  FY 2023
All industries 12.3
Manufacturing 16.4
Non-manufacturing 10.4

Note: Excludes expense purchasing land.

 

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Ministry of Finance, Policy Research Institute.