Business Outlook Survey

(January-March 2023)

March.13, 2023

1. Business conditions

Business survey index

(Difference of "up"-"down" compared with previous quarter)

 
(%points)
   Oct.-Dec.
2022
(previous)
 Jan.-Mar.
2023
(present)
 Apr.-Jun.
2023
(outlook)
 Jul.-Sep.
2023
(outlook)
Corporations with capital of 1 billion yen or over
  All industries 0.7 -3.0 0.7 5.2
Manufacturing -3.6 -10.5 -0.7 6.0
Non-manufacturing 2.7 0.6 1.4 4.8
Corporations with capital of 100 million to 1 billion yen
  All industries 4.7 -4.8 3.1 6.1
Corporations with capital of 10 to 100 million yen
  All industries -6.0 -17.4 -3.1 -1.2

2. Domestic economic conditions

Business survey index

(Difference of "up"-"down" compared with previous quarter)

 
(%points)
   Oct.-Dec.
2022
(previous)
 Jan.-Mar.
2023
(present)
 Apr.-Jun.
2023
(outlook)
 Jul.-Sep.
2023
(outlook)
Corporations with capital of 1 billion yen or over
  All industries 0.1 -2.9 3.5 4.3
Manufacturing -3.2 -7.4 2.0 4.6
Non-manufacturing 1.7 -0.8 4.2 4.1
Corporations with capital of 100 million to 1 billion yen
  All industries -1.8 -8.7 -1.0 4.3
Corporations with capital of 10 to 100 million yen
  All industries -15.0 -18.7 -9.0 -4.8

3. Employment

Business survey index

(Difference of "insufficient"-"excessive")

 
(%points)
  End of Dec.
2022
(previous)
End of Mar.
2023
(present)
End of Jun.
2023
(outlook)
End of Sep.
2023
(outlook)
Corporations with capital of 1 billion yen or over
  All industries 21.3 22.7 15.9 14.3
Manufacturing 15.2 16.6 11.6 10.0
Non-manufacturing 24.2 25.6 18.0 16.4
Corporations with capital of 100 million to 1 billion yen
  All industries 35.3 37.0 29.3 26.1
Corporations with capital of 10 to 100 million yen
  All industries 28.1 28.0 24.3 22.9

4. Sales (compared with the previous year)

 
(%)
  FY 2022 FY 2023
All industries 6.5 2.6
Manufacturing 7.7 3.6
Non-manufacturing 6.0 2.3

5. Ordinary profits (compared with the previous year)

 
(%)
  FY 2022 FY 2023
All industries 3.5 -1.2
Manufacturing 1.5 -3.1
Non-manufacturing 4.4 -0.3

6. Software and investment in plant and equipment (compared with the previous year)

 
(%)
  FY 2022 FY 2023
All industries 8.6 9.1
Manufacturing 16.3 20.1
Non-manufacturing 4.7 2.9

Note: Excludes expense purchasing land.

 

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Ministry of Finance, Policy Research Institute.