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Policy Research Institute

 

Business Outlook Survey 

(April-June 2008)

 Jun  23 , 2008

1.Business conditions

Businesssurvey index
(Difference of "up"-"down" compared with previous quarter)

(%)

 

 

 Jan.-Mar.
2008
(previous)

Apr.-Jun.
2008
(present)

Jul.-Sep.
2008
(outlook)

Oct.-Dec.
2008
(outlook)

Corporationswith capital of 1 billion yen or over
Allindustries -9.3 -15.2 3.7 5.7
 Manufacturing -12.9 -15.1 5.3 8.5
 Non-manufacturing -7.2 -15.3 2.8 4.0
Corporationswith capital of 100 million to 1 billion yen
Allindustries -14.1 -18.1 -5.7 -0.4
 Manufacturing -18.9 -16.4 -5.7 5.3
 Non-manufacturing -12.6 -18.6 -5.8 -2.1
Corporationswith capital of 10 to 100 million yen
Allindustries -30.4 -36.5 -25.9 -18.3
 Manufacturing -32.7 -37.5 -24.7 -18.2
 Non-manufacturing -29.9 -36.4 -26.2 -18.4

 

2.Domestic economic conditions

Businesssurvey index
(Difference of "up"-"down" compared with previous quarter)

(%)

 

 

 Jan.-Mar.
2008
(previous)

Apr.-Jun.
2008
(present)

Jul.-Sep.
2008
(outlook)

Oct.-Dec.
2008
(outlook)

Corporationswith capital of 1 billion yen or over
Allindustries -21.1 -27.3 -11.6 -3.0
 Manufacturing -20.6 -23.4 -7.6 0.1
 Non-manufacturing -21.4 -29.6 -13.9 -4.9
Corporationswith capital of 100 million to 1 billion yen
Allindustries -28.3 -37.4 -27.0 -14.5
 Manufacturing -29.3 -33.8 -23.3 -5.6
 Non-manufacturing -27.9 -38.5 -28.2 -17.3
Corporationswith capital of 10 to 100 million yen
Allindustries -42.7 -54.6 -43.4 -32.6
 Manufacturing -42.2 -55.5 -43.2 -29.7
 Non-manufacturing -42.8 -54.5 -43.4 -33.2

 

3.Sales(compared with the previous year)

(%)

 

 FY 2008

  1st half

   FY 2008

  2nd half

   FY 2008

Allindustries 0.6 0.8 0.4
 Manufacturing 3.0 2.7 3.2
 Non-manufacturing -0.5 -0.1 -0.9

 

4.Ordinary profits (compared with the previous year)

(%)

 

 FY 2008

  1st half

   FY 2008

  2nd half

   FY 2008

All industries -2.0 -13.9 10.2
 Manufacturing -7.4 -19.4 5.5
 Non-manufacturing 2.1 -9.6 13.7

              

5.Investment in plant andequipment (compared with the previous year)

(%)

 

 FY 2008

  1st half

   FY 2008

  2nd half

   FY 2008

Allindustries -0.9 4.3 -5.4
 Manufacturing 9.3 18.5 1.2
 Non-manufacturing -8.2 -6.1 -10.1

 

6.Employment

Businesssurvey index
(Difference of "insufficient"-"excessive" )

(%)

 

 

 Jan.-Mar.
2008
(previous)

Apr.-Jun.
2008
(present)

Jul.-Sep.
2008
(outlook)

Oct.-Dec.
2008
(outlook)

Corporationswith capital of 1 billion yen or over
Allindustries 17.2 12.0 11.1 10.8
 Manufacturing 11.4 6.0 5.9 5.6
 Non-manufacturing 20.6 15.5 14.1 13.9
Corporationswith capital of 100 million to 1 billion yen
Allindustries 20.2 14.0 13.3 13.4
 Manufacturing 14.9 4.5 5.3 6.4
 Non-manufacturing 21.9 17.0 15.8 15.6
Corporationswith capital of 10 to 100 million yen
Allindustries 10.1 6.6 5.9 8.0
 Manufacturing 9.5 1.5 2.8 7.1
 Non-manufacturing 10.2 7.6 6.5 8.2