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Policy Research Institute

 

Business Outlook Survey 

(April-June 2009)

 Jun  22 , 2009

1.Business conditions

Businesssurvey index
(Difference of "up"-"down" compared with previous quarter)

(%)

 

 

 Jan.-Mar.
2009
(previous)

Apr.-Jun.
2009
(present)

Jul.-Sep.
2009
(outlook)

Oct.-Dec.
2009
(outlook)

Corporationswith capital of 1 billion yen or over
Allindustries -51.3 -22.4 -2.6 8.7
 Manufacturing -66.0 -13.2 4.8 17.3
 Non-manufacturing -42.6 -27.8 -6.8 3.8
Corporationswith capital of 100 million to 1 billion yen
Allindustries -51.3 -37.0 -15.1 -2.0
 Manufacturing -69.1 -26.5 -9.6 3.5
 Non-manufacturing -45.8 -40.3 -16.8 -3.8
Corporationswith capital of 10 to 100 million yen
Allindustries -52.9 -49.6 -30.9 -16.8
 Manufacturing -72.4 -54.5 -28.4 -14.6
 Non-manufacturing -48.8 -48.6 -31.4 -17.3

 

2.Domestic economic conditions

Businesssurvey index
(Difference of "up"-"down" compared with previous quarter)

(%)

 

 

 Jan.-Mar.
2009
(previous)

Apr.-Jun.
2009
(present)

Jul.-Sep.
2009
(outlook)

Oct.-Dec.
2009
(outlook)

Corporationswith capital of 1 billion yen or over
Allindustries -74.6 -26.7 -9.3 6.5
 Manufacturing -78.8 -14.2 -0.8 14.2
 Non-manufacturing -72.2 -33.9 -14.1 2.0
Corporationswith capital of 100 million to 1 billion yen
Allindustries -76.4 -46.5 -22.0 -1.6
 Manufacturing -81.7 -35.3 -12.4 4.4
 Non-manufacturing -74.7 -50.0 -25.0 -3.5
Corporationswith capital of 10 to 100 million yen
Allindustries -74.7 -61.5 -36.3 -19.1
 Manufacturing -82.4 -63.2 -35.0 -16.4
 Non-manufacturing -73.1 -61.1 -36.5 -19.7

 

3.Sales(compared with the previous year)

(%)

 

 FY 2009

  1st half

   FY 2009

  2nd half

   FY 2009

Allindustries -9.6 -16.7 -1.9
 Manufacturing -13.0 -23.8 -0.2
 Non-manufacturing -8.1 -13.3 -2.6

 

4.Ordinary profits (compared with the previous year)

(%)

 

 FY 2009

  1st half

   FY 2009

  2nd half

   FY 2009

All industries -12.1 -52.0 81.3
 Manufacturing -25.3 -91.1 *
 Non-manufacturing -7.4 -25.4 15.9
Note   *:Can not be compared because of the negative figure in the previous year.

   

5.Investment in plant andequipment (compared with the previous year)

(%)

 

 FY 2009

  1st half

   FY 200

9

  2nd half

   FY 200

9
Allindustries -19.5 -17.7 -21.1
 Manufacturing -28.7 -26.6 -30.9
 Non-manufacturing -12.7 -10.8 -14.4

 

6.Employment

Businesssurvey index
(Difference of "insufficient"-"excessive" )

(%)

 

 

 Jan.-Mar.
2009
(previous)

Apr.-Jun.
2009
(present)

Jul.-Sep.
2009
(outlook)

Oct.-Dec.
2009
(outlook)

Corporationswith capital of 1 billion yen or over
Allindustries -11.2 -11.7 -6.7 -1.3
 Manufacturing -31.9 -25.1 -15.1 -6.9
 Non-manufacturing 1.2 -4.0 -1.9 2.0
Corporationswith capital of 100 million to 1 billion yen
Allindustries -10.3 -11.5 -6.7 -1.0
 Manufacturing -37.4 -28.3 -20.8 -10.9
 Non-manufacturing -1.9 -6.3 -2.2 2.1
Corporationswith capital of 10 to 100 million yen
Allindustries -7.3 -12.4 -7.2 -2.2
 Manufacturing -28.3 -26.9 -17.5 -9.2
 Non-manufacturing -3.0 -9.4 -5.1 -0.7